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ECONOMIC PROFILE 2004

executive summary
Employment
  • New York City "Fashion Industry" employment is currently (4th Qtr 2003) 67,963. This is a drop of 6.5% from the 1st quarter 2003. The manufacturing portion of the "Fashion Industry" is currently 37,568, almost 5,000 fewer employees compared to the 1st quarter 2003 total of 42,536.
  • Manhattan "Fashion Industry" employment in the 4th quarter 2003 was 50,030, a decline of 2.8% from the 1st quarter 2003. The manufacturing portion of the "Fashion Industry" represented 44.7%, a decline of 8.3% from the 1st quarter 2003. The wholesaling sector increased slightly from 27,109 to 27,666 between the 1st quarter and 4th quarter of 2003.

  • "Fashion Industry" employment within the Fashion Center BID (i.e. Zip Code 10018) is estimated to be 25,226 significantly lower than prior years, and slightly lower than the 1st quarter 2003 figure of 25,956. Manufacturing employment (Apparel & Textile) has declined by 5.7% in the last year and 36.8% since 2000.

  • As of the 4th quarter 2003, the "Fashion Industry" currently represents 29.2% of the total private sector employment in the BID, its lowest level ever. The manufacturing sector only represents 13.1% of BID employment.

 

Retail Market Profile
  • There is approximately 1.56 million square feet of retail space in the BID. The vacancy rate of 10.3% is a decline from last year's rate of 12.3%. Most of this vacancy is along the side streets and there are many retail spaces currently under renovation for redevelopment that has increased the vacancy rate.

  • Retail sales volume is estimated between $600 million and $620 million; however, many of the retail apparel and fabric stores do a large wholesale volume as well.

  • The current resident market has $172 million in retail potential, due to both population and income increases. The employee market has $1.03 billion in potential also up due to new office developments in the area.

  • Market growth will increase demand for an additional 185,000 square feet of retail space, and the untapped potential if recaptured, can support another 299,400 square feet of space.

 

Real Estate Profile
  • Total space availability declined from 3,714,000 square feet to 3,318,161 square feet. This caused the availability ratio to decline from 14.5% to 13.2%. The decrease in availability was across the board. Avenue buildings went from 2,339,000 square feet to 1,979,000 square feet, and Side Street buildings, went from 1,381,000 square feet to 1,339,100 square feet. This decreased availability from 13.8% to 12.7% in Avenue Buildings and from 16%to 14.0% in Side Street Buildings.

  • Office rents have either held steady or increased slightly. Side Street Buildings have an average asking price of $21.81 per square foot., although some are asking upwards of $35.00 per square foot. This is comparable to last year's survey. The Avenue Buildings have an average asking price of between $31.58 per square foot, although some are asking upwards of $49.00 per square foot. Asking rents don't always reflect the underlying status of the market where transactions have incorporated a variety of concessions designed to offset rental prices.

  • Retail rents are still quite high. Broadway retail space asking rents range from $110 - $200 per square foot; Seventh Avenue from $150 - $200 per square foot; Sixth Avenue from $125 - $170 per square foot; Eighth Avenue from $90 - $125 per square foot and the side street locations from $35 - $80 per square foot.

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